Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidFUL

Smith Rowe

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
2.75xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.63 · GW2 2.84 · GW3 3.00 · GW4 2.43 · GW5 2.54 · GW6 3.41GW1GW6
ceiling 11.26captain EV 5.51owned 0.4%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +198
SUN (A)GW2CRY (H)GW3LIV (A)GW4MUN (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.75
Captain EV5.51
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)11.26
Projected pts/£m0.501
Expected bonus (per match)0.70
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.024
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.58
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank85 / 283
Season points (minutes)0 (1909′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/262.json.