Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetFUL

Berge

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
2.51xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.47 · GW2 2.57 · GW3 2.58 · GW4 2.40 · GW5 2.41 · GW6 2.92GW1GW6
ceiling 6.84captain EV 5.02owned 0.4%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.40 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +162
SUN (A)GW2CRY (H)GW3LIV (A)GW4MUN (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.51
Captain EV5.02
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.84
Projected pts/£m0.502
Expected bonus (per match)0.15
DefCon points (per match)0.20
P(DefCon threshold)0.102
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.89
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank104 / 266
Season points (minutes)2 (2904′)
Realized pts/£m0.40
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/265.json.