Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetHUL

Egan

DEF · £4.1m · Gameweek 7
2.79xPts0.68pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
2112.83.23.42.8
GW4 2 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.8 projected · GW8 3.2 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 2.8 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank119thcaptain EV5.58owned7.3%season27 ptspts/£m so far6.59
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.7defence 0.8bonus 0.1= 2.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 21%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (21% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.79
Captain EV5.58
Top 15% of sims, average7.65
Projected pts/£m0.680
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.78
P(DefCon threshold)0.392
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.65
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.1m
Ownership7.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank119 / 51
Season points (minutes)27 (527′)
Realized pts/£m6.59
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/277.json.