Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Coyle

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
1.98xPts0.49pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
1112.02.32.51.9
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.0 projected · GW8 2.3 projected · GW9 2.5 projected · GW10 1.9 projected
GW45678910
FULBREIPSARS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank184thcaptain EV3.97owned0.7%season15 ptspts/£m so far3.75
attack 1.3clean sheet 0.7defence 0.0bonus 0.0= 2.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 35%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (35% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.98
Captain EV3.97
Top 15% of sims, average6.62
Projected pts/£m0.495
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.006
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.67
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank184 / 210
Season points (minutes)15 (438′)
Realized pts/£m3.75
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/280.json.