Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetHUL

Coyle

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2

Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

0.53xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.37 · GW2 0.62 · GW3 0.58 · GW4 0.47 · GW5 0.51 · GW6 0.58GW1GW6
ceiling 3.61captain EV 1.06owned 0.7%
season 6 ptsrealized 1.50 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -163
COV (A)GW2AVL (H)GW3CHE (A)GW4NEW (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.53
Captain EV1.06
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)3.61
Projected pts/£m0.133
Expected bonus (per match)0.31
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.019
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.11
Start probability0.19
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank388 / 225
Season points (minutes)6 (0′)
Realized pts/£m1.50
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/280.json.