Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetHUL

Dowell

MID · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.93xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.68 · GW2 1.11 · GW3 0.94 · GW4 0.76 · GW5 0.87 · GW6 0.91GW1GW6
ceiling 5.33captain EV 1.86owned 0.4%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -4
COV (A)GW2AVL (H)GW3CHE (A)GW4NEW (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.93
Captain EV1.86
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.33
Projected pts/£m0.207
Expected bonus (per match)0.53
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank276 / 272
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/288.json.