Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidHUL

McBurnie

FWD · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
1.37xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.90 · GW2 1.67 · GW3 1.37 · GW4 1.11 · GW5 1.33 · GW6 1.39GW1GW6
ceiling 8.13captain EV 2.74owned 1.8%
season 5 ptsrealized 0.91 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -63
COV (A)GW2AVL (H)GW3CHE (A)GW4NEW (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.37
Captain EV2.74
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.13
Projected pts/£m0.249
Expected bonus (per match)1.12
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£5.5m
Ownership1.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank199 / 136
Season points (minutes)5 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.91
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/295.json.