Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

O'Shea

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 7
1.84xPts0.46pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
12111.83.13.23.1
GW4 1 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 11 points played · GW7 1.8 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 3.2 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank195thcaptain EV3.67owned2.6%season21 ptspts/£m so far5.25
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.3defence 0.6bonus 0.0= 1.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 28%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (28% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.84
Captain EV3.67
Top 15% of sims, average6.02
Projected pts/£m0.460
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.61
P(DefCon threshold)0.303
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.27
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.0m
Ownership2.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank195 / 110
Season points (minutes)21 (540′)
Realized pts/£m5.25
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/304.json.