Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetIPS

Greaves

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2
0.52xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.69 · GW2 0.45 · GW3 0.49 · GW4 0.47 · GW5 0.50 · GW6 0.59GW1GW6
ceiling 3.33captain EV 1.03owned 1.5%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.50 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -234
MUN (A)GW2LIV (H)GW3CRY (A)GW4EVE (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.52
Captain EV1.03
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)3.33
Projected pts/£m0.129
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.051
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.10
Start probability0.25
Price£4.0m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank395 / 161
Season points (minutes)2 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.50
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/306.json.