Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Greaves

DEF · £3.9m · Gameweek 7
0.77xPts0.20pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
-1110.81.41.41.4
GW2 -1 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW7 0.8 projected · GW8 1.4 projected · GW9 1.4 projected · GW10 1.4 projected
GW23478910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank281stcaptain EV1.54owned1.2%season3 ptspts/£m so far0.77
attack 0.5clean sheet 0.1defence 0.2bonus 0.0= 0.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 55%ceiling 2
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (55% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.77
Captain EV1.54
Top 15% of sims, average3.59
Projected pts/£m0.197
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.16
P(DefCon threshold)0.081
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.12
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.50
Price£3.9m
Ownership1.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank281 / 166
Season points (minutes)3 (357′)
Realized pts/£m0.77
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/306.json.