Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidIPS
Emersonn
2.34xPts0.42pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
12222.33.03.03.1
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank157thcaptain EV4.68owned3.9%season28 ptspts/£m so far5.00
attack 2.0bonus 0.3= 2.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 40%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 2.34 |
| Captain EV | 4.68 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 7.97 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.418 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.33 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.99 |
| Price | £5.6m |
| Ownership | 3.9% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 157 / 85 |
| Season points (minutes) | 28 (387′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 5.00 |
| Model tier | B · Mid |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/316.json.