Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetAVL

Cash

DEF · £4.4m · Gameweek 7
1.79xPts0.41pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
6-101.81.41.91.8
GW3 6 points played · GW5 -1 points played · GW6 0 points played · GW7 1.8 projected · GW8 1.4 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW35678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank199thcaptain EV3.57owned4.4%season6 ptspts/£m so far1.36
attack 1.1clean sheet 0.5defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 39%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (39% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.79
Captain EV3.57
Top 15% of sims, average6.97
Projected pts/£m0.407
Expected bonus (per match)0.09
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.066
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.51
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.61
Price£4.4m
Ownership4.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank199 / 80
Season points (minutes)6 (386′)
Realized pts/£m1.36
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/32.json.