Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetLEE

Gudmundsson

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
2.53xPts0.56pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
6642.52.42.42.4
GW4 6 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 4 points played · GW7 2.5 projected · GW8 2.4 projected · GW9 2.4 projected · GW10 2.4 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank139thcaptain EV5.06owned0.1%season18 ptspts/£m so far4.00
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.8defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 2.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 25%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (25% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.53
Captain EV5.06
Top 15% of sims, average7.73
Projected pts/£m0.562
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.08
P(DefCon threshold)0.040
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.82
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.80
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank139 / 421
Season points (minutes)18 (342′)
Realized pts/£m4.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/331.json.