Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Justin

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7
3.67xPts0.82pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 8
2863.73.63.43.6
GW4 2 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 3.7 projected · GW8 3.6 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.6 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank58thcaptain EV7.34owned1.6%season32 ptspts/£m so far7.11
attack 2.0clean sheet 1.0defence 0.5bonus 0.2= 3.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 21%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (21% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.67
Captain EV7.34
Top 15% of sims, average9.59
Projected pts/£m0.816
Expected bonus (per match)0.23
DefCon points (per match)0.49
P(DefCon threshold)0.246
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.99
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.5m
Ownership1.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank58 / 136
Season points (minutes)32 (528′)
Realized pts/£m7.11
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/332.json.