Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidLEE

Okafor

MID · £5.8m · Gameweek 7
3.32xPts0.57pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
9323.33.13.13.1
GW4 9 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.3 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 3.1 projected · GW10 3.1 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank84thcaptain EV6.64owned0.4%season20 ptspts/£m so far3.45
attack 2.7clean sheet 0.2defence 0.0bonus 0.3= 3.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 38%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (38% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.32
Captain EV6.64
Top 15% of sims, average9.97
Projected pts/£m0.572
Expected bonus (per match)0.32
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.011
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.24
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.91
Price£5.8m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank84 / 274
Season points (minutes)20 (369′)
Realized pts/£m3.45
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/336.json.