Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidLEE

Aaronson

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
2.61xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.47 · GW2 2.70 · GW3 2.58 · GW4 2.97 · GW5 2.73 · GW6 2.20GW1GW6
ceiling 8.09captain EV 5.22owned 0.9%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.55 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +107
BRE (H)GW2BHA (A)GW3NEW (H)GW4CRY (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.61
Captain EV5.22
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.09
Projected pts/£m0.474
Expected bonus (per match)0.15
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.052
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.79
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank94 / 201
Season points (minutes)3 (2449′)
Realized pts/£m0.55
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/337.json.