Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier C · BudgetLEE

Longstaff

MID · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
0.27xPts0.06pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
110.30.30.30.30.3
GW1 1 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW7 0.3 projected · GW8 0.3 projected · GW9 0.3 projected · GW10 0.3 projected · GW11 0.3 projected
GW147891011
MUNSUNBOUTOTCHE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank364thcaptain EV0.53owned0.1%season2 pts
attack 0.3bonus 0.0= 0.3 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 79%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (79% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.27
Captain EV0.53
Top 15% of sims, average1.45
Projected pts/£m0.056
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.00
Price£4.8m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank364 / 440
Season points (minutes)2 (10′)
Realized pts/£m0.42
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/339.json.