Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidLEE
Calvert-Lewin
4.56xPts this gameweek
ceiling 12.88captain EV 9.12owned 29.8%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.17 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -3
BRE (H)GW2BHA (A)GW3NEW (H)GW4CRY (H)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 4.56 |
| Captain EV | 9.12 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 12.88 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.760 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.91 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start probability | 0.79 |
| Price | £6.0m |
| Ownership | 29.8% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 11 / 8 |
| Season points (minutes) | 1 (2721′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.17 |
| Verdict | S · Mid · buy |
Research notes on file: Calvert-Lewin. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
Currently in our model squad and the consensus XI.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/346.json.