Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetLEE

Nmecha

FWD · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
0.37xPts0.07pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
1110.40.30.30.4
GW4 1 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 0.4 projected · GW8 0.3 projected · GW9 0.3 projected · GW10 0.4 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank338thcaptain EV0.74owned0.4%season8 ptspts/£m so far1.48
attack 0.2bonus 0.2= 0.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 79%ceiling 1
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (79% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.37
Captain EV0.74
Top 15% of sims, average2.13
Projected pts/£m0.069
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.00
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank338 / 272
Season points (minutes)8 (75′)
Realized pts/£m1.48
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/347.json.