Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidLIV

Virgil

DEF · £6.5m · Gameweek 2
5.07xPts this gameweek
GW1 4.33 · GW2 4.95 · GW3 4.98 · GW4 5.16 · GW5 4.65 · GW6 4.62GW1GW6
ceiling 11.79captain EV 10.15owned 19.6%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.31 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +10
NFO (H)GW2IPS (A)GW3FUL (H)GW4BOU (A)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)5.07
Captain EV10.15
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)11.79
Projected pts/£m0.780
Expected bonus (per match)0.31
DefCon points (per match)0.74
P(DefCon threshold)0.372
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.50
Start probability1.00
Price£6.5m
Ownership19.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank7 / 17
Season points (minutes)2 (3420′)
Realized pts/£m0.31
VerdictS · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

Currently in our model squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/356.json.