Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetLIV

Lucky

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2
0.79xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.63 · GW2 0.77 · GW3 0.77 · GW4 0.81 · GW5 0.72 · GW6 0.74GW1GW6
ceiling 4.77captain EV 1.57owned 0.1%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +143
NFO (H)GW2IPS (A)GW3FUL (H)GW4BOU (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.79
Captain EV1.57
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)4.77
Projected pts/£m0.197
Expected bonus (per match)0.00
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.30
Start probability0.25
Price£4.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank302 / 445
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/361.json.