Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidLIV

Szoboszlai

MID · £6.9m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.55. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

2.97xPts0.43pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 10
3323.03.02.53.0
GW3 3 points played · GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW7 3.0 projected · GW8 3.0 projected · GW9 2.5 projected · GW10 3.0 projected
GW34578910
BREBHAARSCRY
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank106thcaptain EV5.93owned27.9%season20 ptspts/£m so far2.90
attack 2.1clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.7= 3.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 41%ceiling 10
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (41% of simulations), ceiling 10 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we own him, on our bench
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.97
Captain EV5.93
Top 15% of sims, average11.50
Projected pts/£m0.430
Expected bonus (per match)0.70
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.052
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.12
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.55
Price£6.9m
Ownership27.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank106 / 11
Season points (minutes)20 (440′)
Realized pts/£m2.90
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe own him, on our bench

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Szoboszlai. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the bench of our squad and the XI of the consensus squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/368.json.