Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetAVL

A.García

DEF · £4.0m · Gameweek 2
0.06xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.07 · GW2 0.09 · GW3 0.07 · GW4 0.09 · GW5 0.08 · GW6 0.10GW1GW6
ceiling 0.41captain EV 0.12owned 1.7%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -331
ARS (H)GW2HUL (A)GW3NFO (H)GW4TOT (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.06
Captain EV0.12
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)0.41
Projected pts/£m0.015
Expected bonus (per match)0.02
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.007
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.02
Start probability0.03
Price£4.0m
Ownership1.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank469 / 138
Season points (minutes)0 (83′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/38.json.