Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Trafford

GK · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
3.52xPts0.70pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
31023.53.53.43.5
GW4 3 points played · GW5 10 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.5 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.5 projected
GW45678910
MUNSUNBOUTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank68thcaptain EV7.05owned5.6%season30 ptspts/£m so far6.00
attack 2.0clean sheet 0.9bonus 0.6= 3.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 24%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (24% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.52
Captain EV7.05
Top 15% of sims, average9.74
Projected pts/£m0.704
Expected bonus (per match)0.55
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.95
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.0m
Ownership5.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank68 / 69
Season points (minutes)30 (540′)
Realized pts/£m6.00
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/385.json.