Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidMCI
O'Reilly
3.71xPts this gameweek
ceiling 11.18captain EV 7.41owned 21.2%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.31 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -20
CRY (A)GW2COV (H)GW3MUN (A)GW4SUN (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
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The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.71 |
| Captain EV | 7.41 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 11.18 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.570 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.29 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.11 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.054 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 1.11 |
| Start probability | 0.76 |
| Price | £6.5m |
| Ownership | 21.2% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 35 / 15 |
| Season points (minutes) | 2 (2643′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.31 |
| Verdict | A · Mid · buy |
Research notes on file: O'Reilly. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
Currently in the consensus XI.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/387.json.