Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidMCI

Guéhi

DEF · £6.0m · Gameweek 7
4.57xPts0.76pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
6464.63.73.43.4
GW4 6 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 6 points played · GW7 4.6 projected · GW8 3.7 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
IPSAVLBHANFO
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank23rdcaptain EV9.15owned17.9%season36 ptspts/£m so far6.00
attack 2.4clean sheet 1.7defence 0.1bonus 0.3= 4.6 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 22%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (22% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
the consensus squad owns him, we do not
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.57
Captain EV9.15
Top 15% of sims, average11.00
Projected pts/£m0.762
Expected bonus (per match)0.33
DefCon points (per match)0.15
P(DefCon threshold)0.075
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.71
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£6.0m
Ownership17.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank23 / 21
Season points (minutes)36 (540′)
Realized pts/£m6.00
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionthe consensus squad owns him, we do not

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Guéhi. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the XI of the consensus squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/388.json.