Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidMCI
Matheus N.
3.15xPts this gameweek
ceiling 8.53captain EV 6.30owned 1.6%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.17 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +96
CRY (A)GW2COV (H)GW3MUN (A)GW4SUN (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.15 |
| Captain EV | 6.30 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 8.53 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.525 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.32 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.14 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.070 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 1.20 |
| Start probability | 0.84 |
| Price | £6.0m |
| Ownership | 1.6% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 57 / 153 |
| Season points (minutes) | 1 (2861′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.17 |
| Verdict | A · Mid · buy |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/389.json.