Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidMCI
Rúben
3.71xPts0.68pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 6
6163.73.02.82.9
GW45678910
IPSAVLBHANFO
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank57thcaptain EV7.41owned1.9%season23 ptspts/£m so far4.18
attack 1.8clean sheet 1.7defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 3.7 xPts
floor 1most likely 6 30%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 7 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.71 |
| Captain EV | 7.41 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 7.88 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.675 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.08 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.12 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.060 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 1.67 |
| Start prior (before lineup constraints) | 0.99 |
| Price | £5.5m |
| Ownership | 1.9% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 57 / 128 |
| Season points (minutes) | 23 (540′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 4.18 |
| Model tier | A · Mid |
| Our position | we do not own him |
The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/390.json.