Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetMCI

Lewis

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
0.51xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.50 · GW2 0.42 · GW3 0.53 · GW4 0.40 · GW5 0.53 · GW6 0.40GW1GW6
ceiling 3.40captain EV 1.02owned 0.2%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -43
CRY (A)GW2COV (H)GW3MUN (A)GW4SUN (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.51
Captain EV1.02
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)3.40
Projected pts/£m0.113
Expected bonus (per match)0.22
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.005
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.15
Start probability0.11
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank397 / 354
Season points (minutes)1 (401′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/395.json.