Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier S · MidMCI

Cherki

MID · £7.9m · Gameweek 7
5.38xPts0.68pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 12
18105.44.43.93.8
GW4 1 points played · GW5 8 points played · GW6 10 points played · GW7 5.4 projected · GW8 4.4 projected · GW9 3.9 projected · GW10 3.8 projected
GW45678910
IPSAVLBHANFO
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank9thcaptain EV10.76owned31.9%season44 ptspts/£m so far5.57
attack 4.2clean sheet 0.4defence 0.0bonus 0.8= 5.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 17%ceiling 12
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (17% of simulations), ceiling 12 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)5.38
Captain EV10.76
Top 15% of sims, average13.76
Projected pts/£m0.681
Expected bonus (per match)0.75
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.008
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.39
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.91
Price£7.9m
Ownership31.9%
xPts rank / ownership rank9 / 9
Season points (minutes)44 (392′)
Realized pts/£m5.57
Model tierS · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/399.json.