Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidARS

Gabriel

DEF · £8.0m · Gameweek 2
4.26xPts this gameweek
GW1 5.41 · GW2 3.74 · GW3 4.41 · GW4 3.87 · GW5 3.83 · GW6 4.56GW1GW6
ceiling 11.27captain EV 8.52owned 29.4%
season 5 ptsrealized 0.62 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -8
AVL (A)GW2CHE (H)GW3SUN (A)GW4BHA (A)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)4.26
Captain EV8.52
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)11.27
Projected pts/£m0.532
Expected bonus (per match)0.73
DefCon points (per match)0.55
P(DefCon threshold)0.273
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.33
Start probability0.79
Price£8.0m
Ownership29.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank17 / 9
Season points (minutes)5 (2750′)
Realized pts/£m0.62
VerdictS · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/4.json.