Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidCHE
Rogers
2.96xPts this gameweek
ceiling 8.30captain EV 5.92owned 25.3%
season 8 ptsrealized 1.07 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -63
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 2.96 |
| Captain EV | 5.92 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 8.30 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.395 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.20 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.04 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.022 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start probability | 0.97 |
| Price | £7.5m |
| Ownership | 25.3% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 74 / 11 |
| Season points (minutes) | 8 (3280′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 1.07 |
| Verdict | A · Mid · buy |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
Currently in the consensus XI.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/40.json.