Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidTOT

Marmoush

FWD · £7.0m · Gameweek 7
3.35xPts0.48pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 9
2213.42.52.82.6
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 3.4 projected · GW8 2.5 projected · GW9 2.8 projected · GW10 2.6 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank80thcaptain EV6.71owned2.1%season9 ptspts/£m so far1.29
attack 2.5bonus 0.9= 3.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 32%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (32% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.35
Captain EV6.71
Top 15% of sims, average11.34
Projected pts/£m0.479
Expected bonus (per match)0.90
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.63
Price£7.0m
Ownership2.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank80 / 122
Season points (minutes)9 (363′)
Realized pts/£m1.29
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/401.json.