Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidNEW

N.Gonzalez

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 7
1.80xPts0.33pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
2171.81.81.81.7
GW3 2 points played · GW4 1 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 1.8 projected · GW8 1.8 projected · GW9 1.8 projected · GW10 1.7 projected
GW34678910
AVLCRYEVEFUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank198thcaptain EV3.61owned0.2%season12 ptspts/£m so far2.18
attack 1.5clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.1= 1.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 2 33%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 2 (33% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.80
Captain EV3.61
Top 15% of sims, average5.19
Projected pts/£m0.327
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.08
P(DefCon threshold)0.039
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.16
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.69
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank198 / 352
Season points (minutes)12 (254′)
Realized pts/£m2.18
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/405.json.