Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · MidMCI

Kovačić

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
0.13xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.12 · GW2 0.10 · GW3 0.13 · GW4 0.09 · GW5 0.12 · GW6 0.09GW1GW6
ceiling 0.84captain EV 0.25owned 0.1%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.18 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -13
CRY (A)GW2COV (H)GW3MUN (A)GW4SUN (H)GW5
hold · tier C · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.13
Captain EV0.25
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)0.84
Projected pts/£m0.023
Expected bonus (per match)0.84
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.006
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.03
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank451 / 438
Season points (minutes)1 (125′)
Realized pts/£m0.18
VerdictC · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/406.json.