Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetMUN

Dalot

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
3.30xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.68 · GW2 3.11 · GW3 2.82 · GW4 2.83 · GW5 2.82 · GW6 2.98GW1GW6
ceiling 9.09captain EV 6.60owned 2.6%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +61
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.30
Captain EV6.60
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)9.09
Projected pts/£m0.660
Expected bonus (per match)0.14
DefCon points (per match)0.13
P(DefCon threshold)0.067
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.25
Start probability0.76
Price£5.0m
Ownership2.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank51 / 112
Season points (minutes)1 (2609′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/417.json.