Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · BudgetMUN
Maguire
3.81xPts this gameweek
ceiling 9.38captain EV 7.63owned 17.6%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -8
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
buy · tier S · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.81 |
| Captain EV | 7.63 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 9.38 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.763 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.24 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.42 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.210 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 1.43 |
| Start probability | 0.50 |
| Price | £5.0m |
| Ownership | 17.6% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 29 / 21 |
| Season points (minutes) | 1 (1649′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.20 |
| Verdict | S · Budget · buy |
Research notes on file: Maguire. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/418.json.