Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetMUN

Maguire

DEF · £4.8m · Gameweek 7
2.96xPts0.62pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 7
1223.03.32.93.4
GW4 1 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.0 projected · GW8 3.3 projected · GW9 2.9 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank107thcaptain EV5.91owned7.5%season12 ptspts/£m so far2.50
attack 1.6clean sheet 0.9defence 0.3bonus 0.2= 3.0 xPts
floor 0most likely 1 30%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 1 (30% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.96
Captain EV5.91
Top 15% of sims, average8.39
Projected pts/£m0.617
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.26
P(DefCon threshold)0.128
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.87
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£4.8m
Ownership7.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank107 / 48
Season points (minutes)12 (540′)
Realized pts/£m2.50
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/418.json.