Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetMUN

Heaven

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.20xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.31 · GW2 1.13 · GW3 1.05 · GW4 1.08 · GW5 1.05 · GW6 1.12GW1GW6
ceiling 6.46captain EV 2.39owned 0.4%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +54
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.20
Captain EV2.39
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.46
Projected pts/£m0.266
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.17
P(DefCon threshold)0.084
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.48
Start probability0.29
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank220 / 274
Season points (minutes)1 (920′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/421.json.