Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetMUN

Mazraoui

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.31xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.43 · GW2 1.26 · GW3 1.15 · GW4 1.21 · GW5 1.18 · GW6 1.25GW1GW6
ceiling 7.16captain EV 2.62owned 0.7%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +29
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.31
Captain EV2.62
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.16
Projected pts/£m0.292
Expected bonus (per match)0.50
DefCon points (per match)0.16
P(DefCon threshold)0.082
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.48
Start probability0.29
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank204 / 233
Season points (minutes)1 (977′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/422.json.