Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetMUN

Shaw

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
3.73xPts this gameweek
GW1 4.17 · GW2 3.52 · GW3 3.26 · GW4 3.38 · GW5 3.30 · GW6 3.47GW1GW6
ceiling 7.66captain EV 7.45owned 20.3%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.22 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -17
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.73
Captain EV7.45
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.66
Projected pts/£m0.828
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.16
P(DefCon threshold)0.079
Clean-sheet points (per match)1.61
Start probability1.00
Price£4.5m
Ownership20.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank33 / 16
Season points (minutes)1 (3220′)
Realized pts/£m0.22
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

Currently in our model squad and the consensus XI.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/423.json.