Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · PremiumMUN

B.Fernandes

MID · £12.0m · Gameweek 2
8.61xPts this gameweek
GW1 8.85 · GW2 8.14 · GW3 6.55 · GW4 5.54 · GW5 6.51 · GW6 6.75GW1GW6
ceiling 19.44captain EV 17.23owned 49.8%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.17 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +2
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
buy · tier S · Premium
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)8.61
Captain EV17.23
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)19.44
Projected pts/£m0.718
Expected bonus (per match)2.18
DefCon points (per match)0.19
P(DefCon threshold)0.096
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.92
Price£12.0m
Ownership49.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank1 / 3
Season points (minutes)2 (3065′)
Realized pts/£m0.17
VerdictS · Premium · buy

Research notes on file: B.Fernandes. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in our model squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/426.json.