Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier S · MidMUN
Mbeumo
5.10xPts this gameweek
ceiling 14.75captain EV 10.21owned 37.0%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.25 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +1
IPS (H)GW2EVE (A)GW3MCI (H)GW4FUL (A)GW5
buy · tier S · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 5.10 |
| Captain EV | 10.21 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 14.75 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.638 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.84 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.01 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.003 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.00 |
| Start probability | 0.82 |
| Price | £8.0m |
| Ownership | 37.0% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 6 / 7 |
| Season points (minutes) | 2 (2611′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.25 |
| Verdict | S · Mid · buy |
Research notes on file: Mbeumo. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.
Currently in the consensus XI.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/427.json.