Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidMUN

Cunha

MID · £7.9m · Gameweek 7
3.52xPts0.45pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 9
210103.53.83.53.9
GW4 2 points played · GW5 10 points played · GW6 10 points played · GW7 3.5 projected · GW8 3.8 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.9 projected
GW45678910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank66thcaptain EV7.04owned6.4%season36 ptspts/£m so far4.56
attack 3.0clean sheet 0.2defence 0.0bonus 0.3= 3.5 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 48%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (48% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.52
Captain EV7.04
Top 15% of sims, average10.02
Projected pts/£m0.446
Expected bonus (per match)0.32
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.014
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.22
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£7.9m
Ownership6.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank66 / 61
Season points (minutes)36 (497′)
Realized pts/£m4.56
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/428.json.