Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidMUN

Rashford

MID · £6.9m · Gameweek 7
2.17xPts0.31pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
2212.22.32.12.3
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 2.2 projected · GW8 2.3 projected · GW9 2.1 projected · GW10 2.3 projected
GW45678910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank172ndcaptain EV4.33owned1.3%season11 ptspts/£m so far1.59
attack 1.8clean sheet 0.1defence 0.0bonus 0.2= 2.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 33%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (33% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.17
Captain EV4.33
Top 15% of sims, average7.71
Projected pts/£m0.314
Expected bonus (per match)0.24
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.011
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.13
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.63
Price£6.9m
Ownership1.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank172 / 159
Season points (minutes)11 (352′)
Realized pts/£m1.59
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/429.json.