Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidMUN

Tielemans

MID · £5.8m · Gameweek 7
3.34xPts0.58pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 6
2433.33.53.43.5
GW4 2 points played · GW5 4 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 3.3 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.4 projected · GW10 3.5 projected
GW45678910
LEEBOUCHEAVL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank81stcaptain EV6.67owned1.4%season17 ptspts/£m so far2.93
attack 2.4clean sheet 0.2defence 0.5bonus 0.2= 3.3 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 39%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (39% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.34
Captain EV6.67
Top 15% of sims, average7.92
Projected pts/£m0.576
Expected bonus (per match)0.18
DefCon points (per match)0.52
P(DefCon threshold)0.261
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.22
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.8m
Ownership1.4%
xPts rank / ownership rank81 / 154
Season points (minutes)17 (460′)
Realized pts/£m2.93
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/43.json.