Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · MidAVL

Bailey

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
0.31xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.32 · GW2 0.31 · GW3 0.40 · GW4 0.32 · GW5 0.34 · GW6 0.37GW1GW6
ceiling 2.07captain EV 0.62owned 0.2%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -102
ARS (H)GW2HUL (A)GW3NFO (H)GW4TOT (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.31
Captain EV0.62
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)2.07
Projected pts/£m0.056
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.013
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.08
Price£5.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank426 / 324
Season points (minutes)0 (450′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictC · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/44.json.