Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetNEW
Thiaw
3.43xPts this gameweek
ceiling 10.38captain EV 6.86owned 1.7%
season 3 ptsrealized 0.60 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +100
TOT (A)GW2BOU (H)GW3LEE (A)GW4HUL (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 2 |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 3.43 |
| Captain EV | 6.86 |
| Ceiling (best 15% of sims) | 10.38 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.686 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.16 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.57 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.283 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.68 |
| Start probability | 0.87 |
| Price | £5.0m |
| Ownership | 1.7% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 44 / 144 |
| Season points (minutes) | 3 (2963′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.60 |
| Verdict | A · Budget · buy |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/445.json.