Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidAVL

McGinn

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
2.39xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.65 · GW2 2.45 · GW3 3.27 · GW4 2.78 · GW5 2.68 · GW6 2.77GW1GW6
ceiling 8.20captain EV 4.79owned 3.0%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.18 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -9
ARS (H)GW2HUL (A)GW3NFO (H)GW4TOT (A)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.39
Captain EV4.79
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.20
Projected pts/£m0.435
Expected bonus (per match)0.26
DefCon points (per match)0.02
P(DefCon threshold)0.011
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.74
Price£5.5m
Ownership3.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank113 / 104
Season points (minutes)1 (2136′)
Realized pts/£m0.18
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/45.json.