Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetAVL

McGinn

MID · £5.4m · Gameweek 7
3.48xPts0.64pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 8
66103.53.13.53.4
GW4 6 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 10 points played · GW7 3.5 projected · GW8 3.1 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank71stcaptain EV6.95owned2.5%season27 ptspts/£m so far5.00
attack 2.9clean sheet 0.2defence 0.0bonus 0.3= 3.5 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 43%ceiling 8
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (43% of simulations), ceiling 8 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.48
Captain EV6.95
Top 15% of sims, average9.79
Projected pts/£m0.644
Expected bonus (per match)0.29
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.022
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.22
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£5.4m
Ownership2.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank71 / 112
Season points (minutes)27 (524′)
Realized pts/£m5.00
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/45.json.