Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · MidARS

Bruno G.

MID · £6.7m · Gameweek 7
1.19xPts0.18pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
7191.21.31.11.2
GW4 7 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 9 points played · GW7 1.2 projected · GW8 1.3 projected · GW9 1.1 projected · GW10 1.2 projected
GW45678910
NFOEVELIVHUL
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank243rdcaptain EV2.39owned2.1%season18 ptspts/£m so far2.69
attack 0.8clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 1.2 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 62%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (62% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.19
Captain EV2.39
Top 15% of sims, average5.99
Projected pts/£m0.178
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.07
P(DefCon threshold)0.036
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.10
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.23
Price£6.7m
Ownership2.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank243 / 120
Season points (minutes)18 (150′)
Realized pts/£m2.69
Model tierB · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/452.json.