Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidTOT

Tonali

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
2.66xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.42 · GW2 2.64 · GW3 2.41 · GW4 2.47 · GW5 2.48 · GW6 2.24GW1GW6
ceiling 7.87captain EV 5.32owned 4.0%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.36 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -11
NEW (H)GW2NFO (A)GW3EVE (H)GW4AVL (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.66
Captain EV5.32
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.87
Projected pts/£m0.484
Expected bonus (per match)0.21
DefCon points (per match)0.21
P(DefCon threshold)0.103
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.82
Price£5.5m
Ownership4.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank93 / 82
Season points (minutes)2 (2534′)
Realized pts/£m0.36
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/455.json.