Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidNEW

J.Murphy

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
2.07xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.92 · GW2 1.92 · GW3 1.93 · GW4 1.85 · GW5 2.40 · GW6 2.26GW1GW6
ceiling 8.95captain EV 4.15owned 0.2%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +206
TOT (A)GW2BOU (H)GW3LEE (A)GW4HUL (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.07
Captain EV4.15
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.95
Projected pts/£m0.346
Expected bonus (per match)0.48
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.003
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.50
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank144 / 350
Season points (minutes)0 (1606′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/457.json.