Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetAVL

Barkley

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.92xPts0.38pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 5
2111.91.81.91.8
GW4 2 points played · GW5 1 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 1.8 projected · GW9 1.9 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW45678910
NEWMCIFULMUN
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank188thcaptain EV3.84owned0.2%season11 ptspts/£m so far2.20
attack 1.4clean sheet 0.1defence 0.1bonus 0.3= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 42%ceiling 5
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (42% of simulations), ceiling 5 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.92
Captain EV3.84
Top 15% of sims, average7.50
Projected pts/£m0.384
Expected bonus (per match)0.27
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.050
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.11
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.50
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank188 / 316
Season points (minutes)11 (312′)
Realized pts/£m2.20
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/46.json.