Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetAVL

Barkley

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.67xPts this gameweek
GW1 0.72 · GW2 0.70 · GW3 0.95 · GW4 0.79 · GW5 0.80 · GW6 0.77GW1GW6
ceiling 4.17captain EV 1.34owned 0.2%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.40 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -11
ARS (H)GW2HUL (A)GW3NFO (H)GW4TOT (A)GW5
hold · tier C · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.67
Captain EV1.34
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)4.17
Projected pts/£m0.134
Expected bonus (per match)0.45
DefCon points (per match)0.03
P(DefCon threshold)0.015
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.18
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank337 / 326
Season points (minutes)2 (844′)
Realized pts/£m0.40
VerdictC · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/46.json.